Equity Learning

Shadow-outcome analysis and parameter recommendations (#904). Every bucket is a counterfactual replay — trades taken AND trades skipped, labeled under the strategy's locked stop/target/EOD logic.

Confidence Calibration
Shadow hit rate by AI-confidence bucket
BucketnTaken/SkippedHit rateAvg RSum R
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Choke point: pattern detector vs confidence threshold
Skip cohortSkipsWould-win rateAvg RR left on table
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"pattern_missing" = rejected because no pattern was detected at all; "low_confidence" = a pattern was found but scored below the threshold.

Recommendations
Confidence 90%

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Pattern Type
PatternnHit rateAvg RSum R
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Gap % Band
BandnHit rateAvg RSum R
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RVOL Band
BandnHit rateAvg RSum R
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Float Band
BandnHit rateAvg RSum R
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Time of Day (ET session)
SessionnHit rateAvg RSum R
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Stop / Target
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